This paper studies the option market?s implied dividend as a predictor of future equity market returns. We introduce this variable in the simple total return framework and discuss some complications of using it as a proxy for the expected dividend. We construct
Momentum profitability concentrates in high information uncertainty and high credit risk firms and is virtually nonexistent otherwise. This paper rationalizes such momentum interactions in equilibrium asset pricing. In our paradigm, dividend growth is mean reverting, expected dividend growth is stochastic and highly
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